CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7413eb48930c4d7c7162cf94c0bfa8ecee82ffd4647c358f78f14a49da95411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Noir Verse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked SPARTA | 74c | 1,658$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.5 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Noir Verse | 25c | 761.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Noir Verse | 27c | 560.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed Noir Verse | 16c | 424.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noir Verse | 26c | 408.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 74c | 333.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked Noir Verse | 27c | 293.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Noir Verse | 18c | 226.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 78c | 203.53$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Noir Verse | 20c | 201.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Noir Verse | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 79c | 112.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 79c | 108.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Noir Verse | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 74c | 96.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Noir Verse | 26c | 91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…64c4backed Noir Verse | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Noir Verse | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed SPARTA | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed SPARTA | 75c | 64.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Noir Verse | 26c | 60.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Noir Verse | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Noir Verse | 25c | 58.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed SPARTA | 74c | 54.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA | 74c | 52.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 78c | 31.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed SPARTA | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SPARTA | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed SPARTA | 73c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Noir Verse - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.