Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kennesaw State Owls (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc759097712ba2ba2f01af6a10a91b33f363140a86702ae5189f19d4cbd75284a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof Kennesaw State Owls, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,735.83 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 12,761$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.67 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 9,751$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 48c | 8,566$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 2,867$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 49c | 945.1$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 735.11$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 50c | 611.64$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 317$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Kennesaw State Owls | 48c | 155.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Kennesaw State Owls | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 94.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 51c | 51.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 49c | 48.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 32c | 48.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Kennesaw State Owls | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 49c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 47c | 23.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Kennesaw State Owls | 49c | 23.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kennesaw State Owls (-3.5)this page
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State OwlsMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders won
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 145.5Over won
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 146.5Over won
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 147.5Over won
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.