NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc760224f79790bb514a4aee63885d1f2e7a480c5a65671e08c8bfae8ffa64d87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 14c | 687.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Under | 50c | 573.26$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 512$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 64c | 471.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 321.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 260.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 260.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Under | 19c | 257.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Under | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 95.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 91.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 85.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 43c | 78.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 70.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 53c | 65.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…3b5fbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 58c | 43.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 67c | 42.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…c685backed Over | 49c | 42.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…a5e4backed Over | 49c | 39.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 66c | 36.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 61c | 31.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 59c | 30.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 52c | 25.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…8768backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…7272backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…e8a6backed Under | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…ad23backed Over | 47c | 24.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 52c | 24.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…b454backed Over | 47c | 24.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 24.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…bc1dbacked Over | 47c | 23.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b80…42ebbacked Over | 47c | 23.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbde…aadabacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…ff61backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…e576backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…0deabacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…23d9backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…3789backed Under | 53c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…7c57backed Over | 47c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…dc1fbacked Over | 47c | 22.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2ea4backed Over | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…297fbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…653cbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…35a6backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. SharksPredators won
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.