NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4f892c5329fe896eba3054a6cade2da0fab0bf8ecce2162155141174e7c0aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 1,484$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 753.08$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.08 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 39c | 259.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 41c | 246.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 79c | 182$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 168$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 166.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 39c | 150.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 149.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 60c | 148.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…c685backed Over | 60c | 51.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…a5e4backed Over | 60c | 48.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 45c | 47.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 40c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Over | 60c | 26.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Over | 59c | 24.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 74c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. SharksPredators won
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Predators vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.