Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77f22d04b396589baa3945bb1f679e2d72e80478dff4a22d188c6e1c14cb77c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korea Republicof Korea Republic, Trinidad and Tobago
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Korea Republic | 52c | 1,672$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.42 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Trinidad and Tobago | 49c | 1,187$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.23 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Trinidad and Tobago | 45c | 869.56$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Korea Republic | 57c | 594.93$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.98 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Trinidad and Tobago | 44c | 300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Trinidad and Tobago | 51c | 297.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Korea Republic | 63c | 143.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Trinidad and Tobago | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Trinidad and Tobago | 52c | 105.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Korea Republic | 37c | 104$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Korea Republic | 44c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Trinidad and Tobago | 54c | 72.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trinidad and Tobago | 38c | 46.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Trinidad and Tobago | 64c | 44.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Trinidad and Tobago | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Trinidad and Tobago | 53c | 37.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Korea Republic | 52c | 34.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Trinidad and Tobago | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…980cbacked Korea Republic | 69c | 24.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Korea Republic | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)this page
- Korea Republic vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Korea Republic vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 1.5Over won
- Korea Republic vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5Over won
- Korea Republic vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5Under won
- Korea Republic vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.