Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7aec4aa4ca7579f7ab4b6d700bda28c03d3c26462c83df1fe37be75431be5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 52c | 969.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Under | 48c | 314.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 49c | 308.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 58c | 288.29$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 44c | 283.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 47c | 257.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Over | 60c | 251.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 48c | 240$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 51c | 217.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 52c | 175.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 45c | 146.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 106.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 105.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 87.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 47c | 84.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 50c | 70.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Under | 42c | 70.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 46cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 69.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 58.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 57.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 54c | 51.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…b727backed Over | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 25.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 63c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 61c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a5babacked Under | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)GAM Esports won
- Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)GAM Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group StageGAM Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerGAM Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 3 WinnerGAM Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.