La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c3c62ecf3aa91efef8a86efab81a4f12c5fb52809c7d4da61ab15a0a22e0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 4,278$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,541$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,184$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.23 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 1,173$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.75 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 408.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 388$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 358.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 13c | 292.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 198.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 8c | 166.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 142.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 134$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 17c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 26c | 74.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 31c | 55.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 36.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 30.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 26.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.