Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Ivan Marrero vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7dc60f194b2949153199cacdad710037bf8d07a6be182be4e24a6cd0d1a2bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Andradeof Ivan Marrero, Andres Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andres Andrade | 74c | 13,639$10,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.56 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ivan Marrero | 21c | 11,601$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.17 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Ivan Marrero | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…e199backed Ivan Marrero | 12c | 3,729$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Ivan Marrero | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Andres Andrade | 77c | 2,000$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Andrade | 77c | 1,999$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.31 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Ivan Marrero | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Andres Andrade | 77c | 623.8$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Ivan Marrero | 10c | 236.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 136 | 18.4%25 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ivan Marrero | 35c | 222.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Ivan Marrero | 17c | 201.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Ivan Marrero | 8c | 179.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ivan Marrero | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Ivan Marrero | 28c | 81.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Andres Andrade | 80c | 57.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Ivan Marrero | 31c | 56.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Ivan Marrero | 28c | 55.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ivan Marrero | 23c | 50.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Andres Andrade | 76c | 45.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ivan Marrero | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Andres Andrade | 77c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Andres Andrade | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Andres Andrade | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.