Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Sakkari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc81b2c06a012b3c19005ca0a19cbe05f113b4373955313145c96643f7ce5741a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krejcikovaof Krejcikova, Sakkari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Sakkari | 4c | 1,588$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Krejcikova | 36c | 1,144$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.75 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Krejcikova | 45c | 1,115$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.92 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Krejcikova | 51c | 999.8$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Sakkari | 61c | 795.97$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.32 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Krejcikova | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sakkari | 44c | 558$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.54 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Krejcikova | 51c | 382.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Krejcikova | 45c | 356.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sakkari | 52c | 351.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…de71backed Sakkari | 50c | 294.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Sakkari | 47c | 282.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Krejcikova | 52c | 205.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Krejcikova | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Krejcikova | 47c | 191.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Krejcikova | 58c | 188.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Krejcikova | 47c | 184.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sakkari | 50c | 182.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Krejcikova | 44c | 170.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sakkari | 55c | 151.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sakkari | 21c | 148.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…0fe0backed Krejcikova | 45c | 111.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Krejcikova | 43c | 107.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Krejcikova | 32c | 106.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sakkari | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Krejcikova | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Krejcikova | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Krejcikova | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sakkari | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…ed70backed Krejcikova | 41c | 97.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Sakkari | 66c | 49.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Sakkari | 53c | 43.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…8b66backed Sakkari | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…1bc5backed Krejcikova | 54c | 31.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Sakkari | 59c | 30.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sakkari | 44c | 28.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Sakkari | 43c | 24.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Krejcikova | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Sakkari | 63c | 19.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Sakkarithis page
- Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria SakkariBarbora Krejcikova won
- Barbora Krejcikova vs. Maria Sakkari: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Krejcikova vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs SakkariKrejcikova won
- Set Handicap: Sakkari (-1.5) vs Krejcikova (+1.5)Krejcikova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.