Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc900d13c405511dc5cf4e53da23d3156d5d2101cb0315868a88f9262a9ee2a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,920 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 6,169$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.34 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 2,526$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.47 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 2,471$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.89 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 61c | 1,884$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.95 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 65c | 1,456$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 1,383$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 70c | 1,383$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 1,351$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.96 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team | 31c | 911.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.67 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 832.38$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.42 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked paiN Gaming | 77c | 649.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 46c | 544.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.37 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 481.08$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked paiN Gaming | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 390.46$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.36 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team | 46c | 385.68$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.03 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 300$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 259.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 245.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed L1ga Team | 42c | 191.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 187.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 168.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…63c1backed L1ga Team | 39c | 167.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed paiN Gaming | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 64c | 146.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…8c50backed paiN Gaming | 80c | 116.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked L1ga Team | 36c | 103$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed L1ga Team | 18c | 97.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 34c | 58.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked paiN Gaming | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 32.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed paiN Gaming | 56c | 29.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 25.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 46c | 23.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed L1ga Team | 44c | 23.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed paiN Gaming | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CCT PlayoffspaiN Gaming won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- Game Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.