Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Vaishnavi Adkar vs Donna Vekic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9079672dea65bd638c6047a0b4bedb1e04e2d57c9fa9e2d82cd18014498ac31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vekicof Adkar, Vekic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Adkar | 6c | 4,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bf…51e8backed Adkar | 3c | 3,809$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vekic | 64c | 2,725$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Adkar | 6c | 2,245$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adkar | 42c | 914.9$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Adkar | 4c | 817.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adkar | 25c | 696.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Adkar | 34c | 628$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Vekic | 72c | 454.11$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Adkar | 3c | 404.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Adkar | 5c | 387.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Adkar | 3c | 337.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Adkar | 16c | 311.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Adkar | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…55f1backed Adkar | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Vekic | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Vekic | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d66…3c95backed Adkar | 36c | 60.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Adkar | 33c | 44.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…d2d8backed Vekic | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.