TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

AHL: Texas Stars vs. Bakersfield Condors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bakersfield Condorsof Texas Stars, Bakersfield Condors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7352…7228backed Bakersfield Condors50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd7…ed68backed Texas Stars50c219.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0387…33ddbacked Texas Stars50c219.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…33bcbacked Texas Stars50c219.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…4151backed Bakersfield Condors50c219$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa168…3c3bbacked Bakersfield Condors50c219$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b3…8768backed Bakersfield Condors50c219$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…7672backed Bakersfield Condors50c218$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd77…828ebacked Texas Stars50c217.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a5…a77bbacked Texas Stars50c216.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x319b…5a79backed Texas Stars50c215.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0774…c2b9backed Bakersfield Condors50c215$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xface…6e8dbacked Bakersfield Condors50c215$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02d…3449backed Bakersfield Condors50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ea…56f3backed Bakersfield Condors50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…6ddabacked Texas Stars50c213.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397c…a91fbacked Bakersfield Condors50c213$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…65e9backed Texas Stars50c212.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6822…6678backed Bakersfield Condors50c212$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…129bbacked Texas Stars50c211.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f90…36f9backed Texas Stars50c211.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd13…d0afbacked Texas Stars50c211.61$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfe…edb9backed Bakersfield Condors50c211$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c91…47a2backed Texas Stars50c210.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cc27backed Bakersfield Condors50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…7bbbbacked Bakersfield Condors50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd955…0e97backed Bakersfield Condors50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb57…1403backed Texas Stars50c209.9$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffc…b8a2backed Texas Stars50c208.53$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa0…31ffbacked Texas Stars50c208.44$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac6…0327backed Texas Stars50c207.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c28…4288backed Texas Stars50c207.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…095fbacked Bakersfield Condors50c207$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93f…9881backed Texas Stars50c206.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacee…0329backed Bakersfield Condors50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…31e4backed Texas Stars50c204.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a28…ea7fbacked Texas Stars50c204.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547d…a1b8backed Bakersfield Condors50c203$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad96…da38backed Texas Stars50c202.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68fc…a09fbacked Bakersfield Condors50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc821…6957backed Bakersfield Condors50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad8…f1e0backed Bakersfield Condors50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x213d…e451backed Bakersfield Condors50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f07…9582backed Texas Stars50c199.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d17…89f7backed Bakersfield Condors50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a4…9b08backed Bakersfield Condors50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb228…0c97backed Texas Stars50c197.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f95…facebacked Texas Stars50c196.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0f…e6ffbacked Texas Stars50c196.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee4…b114backed Bakersfield Condors50c196$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9a…8d50backed Texas Stars50c195.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd956…5914backed Bakersfield Condors50c195$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad83…4797backed Bakersfield Condors50c195$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8760…26eabacked Texas Stars50c194.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143b…a6f6backed Texas Stars50c192.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7227…8477backed Bakersfield Condors50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc340…1f8ebacked Bakersfield Condors50c191$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e7…4c6cbacked Texas Stars50c190.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc487…1533backed Texas Stars50c189.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de9…be3ebacked Bakersfield Condors50c189$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826a…3943backed Bakersfield Condors50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbca…1c1abacked Bakersfield Condors50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ca…8bdebacked Texas Stars50c187.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ea…8c6cbacked Texas Stars50c186.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e3…b835backed Texas Stars50c186.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…a381backed Bakersfield Condors50c186$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc10…0407backed Texas Stars50c185.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbba…af89backed Bakersfield Condors50c185$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…cadbbacked Texas Stars50c184.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…ccfbbacked Texas Stars50c184.53$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2799…8f23backed Texas Stars50c184.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc112…407ebacked Bakersfield Condors50c184$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e7…5e83backed Bakersfield Condors50c184$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbedc…92ecbacked Bakersfield Condors50c183$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb590…5ad7backed Texas Stars50c182.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadd…a67abacked Bakersfield Condors50c182$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…af16backed Bakersfield Condors50c182$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f18…da7ebacked Texas Stars50c181.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0ff3backed Texas Stars50c180.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…e7ecbacked Bakersfield Condors50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Texas Stars27c161.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2710247.1%48 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Bakersfield Condors50c103.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6945447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Bakersfield Condors64c64.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.087363%46 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Texas Stars50c59.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6486549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Texas Stars37c39.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.645069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Texas Stars48c38.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.717054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Texas Stars45c31.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.433251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Bakersfield Condors73c27.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.32250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Texas Stars50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.547848.1%230 W · 248 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Bakersfield Condors64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.487450%37 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bakersfield Condors65c16.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7319964.3%128 W · 71 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.