NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc949a41b274b1e2a0bfe55ff9f870a54c469af1e4b400ed433aa25633d92eb27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Avangard Omsk, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Avangard Omsk | 72c | 1,915$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.43 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 1,579$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 990$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…d298backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 977$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…1cabbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 777$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Avangard Omsk | 71c | 701.68$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…4763backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 612$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…be98backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 606$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…d593backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 551$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…cf22backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 527$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…16a7backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 507$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…7592backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 474$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 463$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…2357backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 426$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…9886backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 348$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…43a5backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 345$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…6458backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 299$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Avangard Omsk | 71c | 279$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…12d2backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 270$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…7849backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 267$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Avangard Omsk | 72c | 260.07$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…0cbfbacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 258$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 52c | 229.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…87d7backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 175$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Avangard Omsk | 48c | 173.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…ee8ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Avangard Omsk | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 135$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Avangard Omsk | 71c | 121.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 28c | 103.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Avangard Omsk | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Avangard Omsk | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…7094backed Avangard Omsk | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avangard Omsk | 69c | 25.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…8d3dbacked Avangard Omsk | 61c | 24.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.