Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9605857fcdee55336542d8ee6ffec95d000fc33ca4416b02c2d21aa1a06bdc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquid Academyof Formulation Gaming, Team Liquid Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Liquid Academy | 77c | 5,752$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Formulation Gaming | 24c | 3,359$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.07 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Formulation Gaming | 2c | 1,148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Formulation Gaming | 23c | 825$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Formulation Gaming | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid Academy | 76c | 547.39$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…7481backed Formulation Gaming | 24c | 403.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…a283backed Formulation Gaming | 24c | 339.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Formulation Gaming | 23c | 215.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Formulation Gaming | 23c | 209.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Formulation Gaming | 23c | 185.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Formulation Gaming | 23c | 181.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Formulation Gaming | 24c | 153.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Formulation Gaming | 23c | 147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Team Liquid Academy | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Formulation Gaming | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Formulation Gaming | 24c | 115.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Formulation Gaming | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Formulation Gaming | 24c | 63.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Team Liquid Academy | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Formulation Gaming | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…55cbbacked Formulation Gaming | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Team Liquid Academy | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Team Liquid Academy | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid Academy | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: TL.A (-1.5) vs Formulation Gaming (+1.5)Team Liquid Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.