Tennis · resolved market
ITF Pelham: Antonia Rivera vs Bella Payne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9738b900741b2ced92f2b32cf4e2cb23c07db02481b354b6b58071d827d13b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bella Payneof Antonia Rivera, Bella Payne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Antonia Rivera | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Antonia Rivera | 66c | 724.38$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…8d1fbacked Bella Payne | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Bella Payne | 70c | 321.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Bella Payne | 39c | 315$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Antonia Rivera | 61c | 304.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bella Payne | 42c | 282.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bella Payne | 42c | 236.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bella Payne | 39c | 205.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bella Payne | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bella Payne | 42c | 160.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Bella Payne | 66c | 155.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bella Payne | 38c | 155.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bella Payne | 60c | 147.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bella Payne | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bella Payne | 55c | 115.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Antonia Rivera | 66c | 112.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bella Payne | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Antonia Rivera | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Antonia Rivera | 56c | 59.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bella Payne | 21c | 56.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Antonia Rivera | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Antonia Rivera | 32c | 40.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bella Payne | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…9095backed Bella Payne | 75c | 38.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bella Payne | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Antonia Rivera | 58c | 36.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…c9aabacked Antonia Rivera | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bella Payne | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Antonia Rivera | 32c | 31.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Antonia Rivera | 64c | 27.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Bella Payne | 55c | 20.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.