CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Infinite (BO3) - Esplay Elite Gaming Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc986b3fa9bb9c817094923a882d25ccc14628879424c6f7a12dd67ab5946642c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof Johnny Speeds, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Infinite | 61c | 1,799$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.81 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…b907backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 490.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 482.57$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Johnny Speeds | 24c | 475$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 444.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Infinite | 54c | 356.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 311.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked Johnny Speeds | 13c | 309.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Infinite | 66c | 303.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Infinite | 67c | 293.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Johnny Speeds | 20c | 293$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…5fafbacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 266.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Infinite | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Johnny Speeds | 19c | 251.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Infinite | 54c | 249.25$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Infinite | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Johnny Speeds | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 195.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Infinite | 79c | 188.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Infinite | 54c | 185.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 182.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Infinite | 63c | 168$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 138.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 123.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Johnny Speeds | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Johnny Speeds | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 110.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Infinite | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 102.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Infinite | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Infinite | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Infinite | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Johnny Speeds | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 69.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…23f1backed Infinite | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Infinite | 51c | 62.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…24cdbacked Infinite | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Johnny Speeds | 24c | 54.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 51.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds | 30c | 50.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 43.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…961cbacked Infinite | 65c | 41.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Johnny Speeds | 47c | 41.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 36.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 41c | 35.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Infinite | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Infinite | 70c | 29.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Infinite | 56c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80a…1a16backed Johnny Speeds | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Infinite (BO3) - Esplay Elite Gaming Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.