Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9bc07f71dee19c053485b946cf03241b65eed32356ddba85491cd10e4fb3a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 887.1$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 578.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 53c | 430.6$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 339.91$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 37c | 337.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 321.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 87.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 56c | 53.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Over | 49c | 53.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 51.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 33.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 23.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…00d7backed Over | 58c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 60c | 17.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.