TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Enjoy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,015 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Enjoy17c37,210$6,194 inLost-$6,194.241,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Enjoy20c11,146$2,184 inLost-$2,184.0315951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Enjoy16c8,780$1,364 inLost-$1,364.1456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Enjoy6c6,245$363 inLost-$362.681,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Enjoy15c3,917$605 inLost-$60528341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Enjoy9c3,608$312 inLost-$312.3971143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Enjoy16c3,511$563 inLost-$562.6336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Spirit77c2,622$2,019 inWon+$603.1317651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Enjoy7c2,253$146 inLost-$146.471526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked Enjoy3c1,500$51 inLost-$51.253116.1%5 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Enjoy15c1,334$200 inLost-$200.118437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Team Spirit80c1,250$1,000 inWon+$25025150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf36…20f4backed Enjoy2c1,147$24 inLost-$24.45933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Enjoy18c1,062$191 inLost-$191.1535151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Team Spirit80c1,050$840 inWon+$210.1729243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Enjoy8c1,042$87 inLost-$87.461,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Enjoy18c1,037$187 inLost-$186.9889440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Enjoy1c1,000$10 inLost-$102110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed Enjoy9c964.6$89 inLost-$89.136741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Enjoy12c820.15$100 inLost-$10046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Enjoy4c747.45$33 inLost-$333323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Team Spirit78c688.38$540 inWon+$148.216147.2%76 W · 85 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Enjoy17c531.88$91 inLost-$90.7541050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Enjoy10c520.83$50 inLost-$50375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Enjoy23c434.78$100 inLost-$10057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Enjoy21c369.83$76 inLost-$76.087251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Enjoy18c361.11$65 inLost-$6515150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Team Spirit80c312$250 inWon+$62.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+87.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Enjoy4c306$12 inLost-$12.161,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Enjoy15c299.99$45 inLost-$4537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd54a…1223backed Enjoy19c281.61$54 inLost-$54.130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Enjoy16c205.9$33 inLost-$32.9441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Enjoy9c192.57$17 inLost-$17.2440534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Enjoy13c155$20 inLost-$20.1513145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Spirit80c150$120 inWon+$3026741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.