TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Enjoy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Enjoy17c45,042$7,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,841.21,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Enjoy22c18,666$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,102.7915951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1a…ac77backed Team Spirit77c8,925$6,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Enjoy6c3,187$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Spirit79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Enjoy4c3,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11051544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Enjoy22c2,888$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.0828341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…c05fbacked Enjoy1c2,700$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016932.5%55 W · 114 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit78c2,250$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49553758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit78c1,907$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.5556852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Enjoy15c1,842$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Enjoy13c1,758$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.811,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Spirit80c1,455$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Enjoy13c1,387$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team Spirit78c1,004$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9213635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Enjoy15c1,000$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.141,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Spirit79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18927060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Enjoy20c898.57$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.121,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Enjoy18c898.43$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Enjoy12c875.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7830138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Enjoy24c851.59$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9193546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Spirit76c801.67$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.417651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Spirit79c762.11$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0411947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Team Spirit79c759.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.63743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Team Spirit79c751.75$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7512740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Enjoy15c749.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.519338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Spirit80c646.17$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2355251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Spirit78c627.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9713148.1%63 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Enjoy5c588.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.723323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Team Spirit78c584$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0817757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Enjoy15c571.23$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.981,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Spirit79c526.55$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5526843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Spirit80c525.47$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0911154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Enjoy13c510$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.328145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Enjoy14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Enjoy23c499.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11543738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Enjoy22c460.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2529243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Enjoy16c445.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.081,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Enjoy4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca2…0beabacked Team Spirit80c376.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.71457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Team Spirit79c301.27$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.272330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Team Spirit79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6316256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Spirit78c260$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.226741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9a…89a5backed Team Spirit77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Spirit80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5046451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Enjoy20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5044149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Enjoy15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3074549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdaa…ed87backed Team Spirit79c173.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Enjoy17c131$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2710741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Enjoy23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Enjoy13c130$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.912432.3%40 W · 84 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Spirit80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2522240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Spirit78c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.559254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cd…3ca2backed Enjoy17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206532.3%21 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Enjoy15c109.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4956343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3167…32a2backed Enjoy10c103.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3112151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Enjoy13c101.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2215551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Team Spirit79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2120763.3%131 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Enjoy20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361a…783fbacked Enjoy13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2265863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Team Spirit79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Spirit80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b32…5146backed Enjoy20c98.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025356.5%143 W · 110 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Team Spirit79c93.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Spirit79c83.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5381345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Team Spirit77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.944178%32 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Enjoy20c61.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2138244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Spirit77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.837851.1%193 W · 185 L-1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf913…c2f5backed Team Spirit80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129352.7%49 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Team Spirit76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214259.9%85 W · 57 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed Team Spirit80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022954.6%125 W · 104 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Team Spirit79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.572637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Spirit79c47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8766545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff84…0733backed Team Spirit80c39.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed7…baa3backed Team Spirit79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3231648.7%154 W · 162 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Team Spirit78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48164.2%52 W · 29 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9195backed Team Spirit79c15.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.326956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b6…f439backed Team Spirit80c13.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.