Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Anna Snigireva vs Jialan Cai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca07cdc510708deb728f8d660228698c7d4336da5b4a84e9486fc050d8f41d60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jialan Caiof Anna Snigireva, Jialan Cai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jialan Cai | 50c | 14,709$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anna Snigireva | 51c | 12,027$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.88 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anna Snigireva | 37c | 1,578$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.79 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Anna Snigireva | 70c | 680$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Anna Snigireva | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Anna Snigireva | 30c | 343.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Anna Snigireva | 42c | 235.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jialan Cai | 73c | 230.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jialan Cai | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jialan Cai | 11c | 147.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Jialan Cai | 52c | 130.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Anna Snigireva | 36c | 129.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Jialan Cai | 15c | 70.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Anna Snigireva | 33c | 56.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Anna Snigireva | 37c | 49.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Jialan Cai | 37c | 38.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Jialan Cai | 60c | 34.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Anna Snigireva | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Jialan Cai | 52c | 26.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jialan Cai | 55c | 25.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Anna Snigireva | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Anna Snigireva | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Jialan Cai | 71c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.