Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca48e764afff8b785b1abca1bc4477a0f26ccc81cfa216a88f638299ab992679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,215 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 745.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 427.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 66c | 301.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 69c | 292.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 78c | 232.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 51c | 216.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 196.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 63c | 186.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 37c | 181.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 65c | 162.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 36c | 139.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 34c | 107.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 43c | 94.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 57c | 88.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 80.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 80.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 65c | 79.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 45c | 78.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked No | 68c | 58.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 30c | 36.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 34.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 37c | 31.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 63c | 27.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Yes | 46c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 64c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…910bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.