Euroleague · resolved market
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca6bef1fc4e19e083a417d3351d52ed18775a734ed8eec9e20b9c86b234f86ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinof Jilin Northeast Tigers, Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 1,249$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.67 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 1,166$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.12 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 897.88$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 892$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 69c | 699.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 352.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 321$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 67c | 271$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 155.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 133.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 28c | 111.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 108.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 55c | 96.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 59c | 84.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 46c | 68.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 65.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 41c | 61.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 39c | 51.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 63c | 50.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 70c | 33.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 61c | 30.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 23.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.