NHL · resolved market
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca709a3f3530ac08d1c68787e12ae70866ae4717b196dae57272c016080ac597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EHC Red Bull Muenchenof Augsburger Panther, EHC Red Bull Muenchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b3f…5f27backed Augsburger Panther | 10c | 8,773$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 65c | 4,000$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.64 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Augsburger Panther | 35c | 1,136$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.53 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Augsburger Panther | 35c | 854.29$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Augsburger Panther | 36c | 806.14$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Augsburger Panther | 35c | 751.49$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.49 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Augsburger Panther | 33c | 487.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Augsburger Panther | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Augsburger Panther | 36c | 188.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Augsburger Panther | 36c | 169.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Augsburger Panther | 35c | 130.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 64c | 109.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Augsburger Panther | 20c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Augsburger Panther | 36c | 57.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 40c | 50.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Augsburger Panther | 35c | 44.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…9577backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.