Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7a1c0e5e17a674527a5b8f54490a0c5c9e74e51e311ebb5584de955338fa50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 21,320$16,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,207.99 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 15,874$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,068.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 4,625$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.69 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 3,014$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.36 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 35c | 2,267$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.74 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 1,890$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.63 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 1,826$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 36c | 1,181$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 438.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 24c | 437.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 56c | 337.28$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 295$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 281.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…ed8bbacked Yes | 25c | 176.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 156.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 32c | 135.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…47a4backed Yes | 59c | 125.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 24c | 82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 77.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 69.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…34d0backed Yes | 24c | 67.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 24c | 61.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 50.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.