Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x756ee60345da18432e5bb906117e9e932559ed411e2cf4d32576d54e70ec55ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 2,571$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.12 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,295$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 55c | 579.26$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.59 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 55c | 503.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 494.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 387.29$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 45c | 297.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked No | 52c | 249.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 231.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 213.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 56c | 196.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 25c | 137.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 135.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 100.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 67c | 98.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 34c | 92.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 45c | 66.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 35c | 46.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 45.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 56c | 44.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 43c | 37.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 33.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 48c | 29.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 55c | 25.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 23.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…fa33backed No | 57c | 21.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.