Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dublin: Amelia Rajecki vs Alicia Dudeney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca85ed6a6fdafa97c0844974815d7a6bc5be398f388d32d2422493ead6ce53f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amelia Rajeckiof Amelia Rajecki, Alicia Dudeney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alicia Dudeney | 37c | 4,683$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Amelia Rajecki | 68c | 3,120$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.45 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Amelia Rajecki | 55c | 2,122$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Alicia Dudeney | 37c | 828.64$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alicia Dudeney | 20c | 505.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Amelia Rajecki | 64c | 468.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alicia Dudeney | 34c | 449.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alicia Dudeney | 39c | 315.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Alicia Dudeney | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amelia Rajecki | 72c | 279.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Amelia Rajecki | 62c | 150.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Amelia Rajecki | 62c | 69.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amelia Rajecki | 56c | 58.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Amelia Rajecki | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Amelia Rajecki | 63c | 49.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Alicia Dudeney | 29c | 43.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Amelia Rajecki | 62c | 42.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…1c36backed Amelia Rajecki | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Amelia Rajecki | 59c | 33.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Amelia Rajecki | 55c | 29.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alicia Dudeney | 41c | 27.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Amelia Rajecki | 64c | 25.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Amelia Rajecki | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Amelia Rajecki | 53c | 22.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Alicia Dudeney | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.