Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca93beb165302f5bb6adb8ba30a1d9fbad88ea16e7c975da9c4cb09357576070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 68c | 3,325$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.17 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 32c | 2,567$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.86 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 33c | 1,465$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…6ac6backed Yes | 74c | 1,229$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 67c | 1,171$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 1,102$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 964.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.45 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 29c | 643.61$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 546.94$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 31c | 450.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 400.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 398.9$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 32c | 318.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 32c | 308.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 39c | 247.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 61c | 236.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 61c | 190.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 174.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 50c | 147.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 77c | 128.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 34c | 107.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 34c | 64.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 31c | 50.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 46.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 44.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 38.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 79c | 27.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 42c | 25.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…e033backed No | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.