South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca9a276f56aed5b9928b6d2a3c9bfa24ed52b013d0d6bc7490bab3509dcf2fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,813 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 6,234$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 5,117$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,764$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.77 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 41c | 332.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 219.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 35c | 218$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 158.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 41c | 142.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked Yes | 37c | 127.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 59c | 111.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 109.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 71c | 102.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 90.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 67c | 89.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 77c | 84.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 34c | 68.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 61.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 58.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 37c | 55.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 64c | 38.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 64c | 20.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.