Tennis · resolved market
Wuning: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae95bded738d1de6b45eaefca8f2778a3792b4a4afab6926761fbf5f1398a19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilia Simakinof Daniil Ostapenkov, Ilia Simakin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x779a…b689backed Ilia Simakin | 76c | 1,298$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 47c | 1,231$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.01 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 26c | 1,111$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Ilia Simakin | 66c | 881.64$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Ilia Simakin | 77c | 829.96$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 23c | 783.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 9c | 756.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 6c | 736.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 9c | 735.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 7c | 732.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 13c | 709.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 10c | 633.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 24c | 584.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ilia Simakin | 72c | 576.38$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 19c | 542.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Ilia Simakin | 76c | 534$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 14c | 492.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 24c | 450.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e8…342dbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 5c | 373.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 25c | 370.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Ilia Simakin | 76c | 319.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 23c | 299.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 26c | 276.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 24c | 272.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 22c | 247.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Ilia Simakin | 78c | 244.17$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 10c | 237.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 16c | 233.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 10c | 218.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Ilia Simakin | 66c | 212.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Ilia Simakin | 65c | 191.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…8bd5backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 11c | 167.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Ilia Simakin | 76c | 164.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Ilia Simakin | 66c | 139.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Ilia Simakin | 72c | 137.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ilia Simakin | 73c | 131.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Ilia Simakin | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 20c | 117.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Ilia Simakin | 66c | 111.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…36aebacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 25c | 110.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ilia Simakin | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…93e3backed Ilia Simakin | 66c | 99.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Ilia Simakin | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Ilia Simakin | 77c | 97.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ilia Simakin | 65c | 86.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 25c | 85.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 35c | 83.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Ilia Simakin | 75c | 74.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Ilia Simakin | 47c | 69.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Ilia Simakin | 76c | 65.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Ilia Simakin | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 26c | 55.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Ilia Simakin | 72c | 54.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 24c | 53.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Ilia Simakin | 76c | 45.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Ilia Simakin | 77c | 44.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…df8cbacked Ilia Simakin | 80c | 40.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…a042backed Ilia Simakin | 64c | 38.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Ilia Simakin | 77c | 37.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Ilia Simakin | 74c | 37.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Ilia Simakin | 72c | 30.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ilia Simakin | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Ilia Simakin | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Ilia Simakin | 65c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Ilia Simakin | 77c | 20.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc64backed Ilia Simakin | 76c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…3fb1backed Ilia Simakin | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Ilia Simakin | 78c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Ilia Simakin | 68c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ilia Simakin | 75c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Ilia Simakin | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 336 | 51.5%173 W · 163 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuning: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakinthis page
- Ostapenkov vs. Simakin: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ostapenkov vs SimakinSimakin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.