CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs RED Canids (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb1e76b94894871a707cf1a4440cfedc8962f5d46f1cd31350e59b98abcac4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DashSkinsof DashSkins, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed DashSkins | 45c | 2,789$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.03 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed RED Canids | 53c | 2,766$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.67 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 69c | 1,653$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids | 66c | 900$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed DashSkins | 34c | 900$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids | 56c | 595.27$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed RED Canids | 60c | 500.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed DashSkins | 25c | 483.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.36 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed DashSkins | 23c | 384.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.43 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked RED Canids | 74c | 310.81$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed RED Canids | 57c | 245.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked RED Canids | 79c | 218$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DashSkins | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed DashSkins | 17c | 210.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked RED Canids | 66c | 207.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed DashSkins | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed RED Canids | 44c | 182.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…0a37backed RED Canids | 78c | 176.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked DashSkins | 34c | 163.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed DashSkins | 21c | 144.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed DashSkins | 26c | 126.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed RED Canids | 66c | 113.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked DashSkins | 19c | 98.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed RED Canids | 50c | 94.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked DashSkins | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed DashSkins | 20c | 92.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed DashSkins | 47c | 91.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed RED Canids | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked RED Canids | 49c | 72.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed DashSkins | 43c | 69.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed RED Canids | 74c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DashSkins | 50c | 60.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed DashSkins | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed DashSkins | 20c | 53.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…ab90backed RED Canids | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed DashSkins | 59c | 50.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed DashSkins | 23c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked RED Canids | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed DashSkins | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed RED Canids | 32c | 34.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed DashSkins | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3180backed RED Canids | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs RED Canids (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs RED Canids - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs RED Canids - Map 2 WinnerDashSkins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.