Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Carolyn Ansari vs Xin Tong Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3a8315c5d0f609b5d6900351393d1728ec78adb1b86ce5a1648158fb5ee2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xin Tong Wangof Carolyn Ansari, Xin Tong Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Xin Tong Wang | 32c | 1,029$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.15 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Carolyn Ansari | 66c | 1,025$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.5 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xin Tong Wang | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xin Tong Wang | 9c | 650.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.86 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Xin Tong Wang | 30c | 542.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.08 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xin Tong Wang | 14c | 501.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Xin Tong Wang | 31c | 470.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.27 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Xin Tong Wang | 31c | 301.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carolyn Ansari | 68c | 163.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Xin Tong Wang | 21c | 154.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carolyn Ansari | 62c | 140.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Xin Tong Wang | 10c | 114.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 104.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xin Tong Wang | 42c | 102.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Xin Tong Wang | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Carolyn Ansari | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Xin Tong Wang | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xin Tong Wang | 15c | 73.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Carolyn Ansari | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Carolyn Ansari | 66c | 62.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Carolyn Ansari | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Carolyn Ansari | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Carolyn Ansari | 66c | 32.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Carolyn Ansari | 64c | 26.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Carolyn Ansari | 65c | 25.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Xin Tong Wang | 64c | 20.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.