TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Charleston Cougars vs. Northern Kentucky Norse

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Charleston Cougarsof Charleston Cougars, Northern Kentucky Norse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Charleston Cougars79c2,955$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.215,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse6c2,345$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.021,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Kentucky Norse29c1,498$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.32,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Northern Kentucky Norse9c1,040$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.531,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Charleston Cougars41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9929444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Northern Kentucky Norse23c897.74$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20712435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Northern Kentucky Norse42c868.47$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.85133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Charleston Cougars57c752.19$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Charleston Cougars40c597$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.232,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Kentucky Norse29c456.24$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.821,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse59c422$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Kentucky Norse61c396.66$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.421,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Charleston Cougars39c347.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Northern Kentucky Norse64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse59c281.08$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse35c277.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.651,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Northern Kentucky Norse36c276$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse21c191$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.541,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Northern Kentucky Norse35c172.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c166.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0321050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Charleston Cougars36c163.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.522227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c121$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.062,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.81,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Northern Kentucky Norse62c118$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.168050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Charleston Cougars41c112.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.944,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…1550backed Charleston Cougars76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Northern Kentucky Norse22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Charleston Cougars69c77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.212,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Northern Kentucky Norse18c76.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Charleston Cougars36c71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4416051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ca…5b34backed Charleston Cougars61c65.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+89.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.355,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Northern Kentucky Norse35c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Charleston Cougars39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.289838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156f…6887backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Charleston Cougars38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Northern Kentucky Norse31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55570.9%39 W · 16 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Charleston Cougars46c46.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Kentucky Norse22c46.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.433,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c45.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.582,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Northern Kentucky Norse51c39.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Charleston Cougars38c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.462857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Charleston Cougars41c30.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9849043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Charleston Cougars64c28.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked Charleston Cougars61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c22.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.291,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Charleston Cougars80c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.