Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4c9c129dffabec71911a87323ab5fe18e6ef7db5e268b583cd6331ad37d326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 50c | 91,478$45,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,149.79 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 40,500$20,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,661.73 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 30,043$15,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,333.72 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 5,565$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,420$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 50c | 1,293$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.5 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 892$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.11 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 825$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 607.27$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 566.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.37 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 564.05$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 51c | 427.04$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 379.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 327.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 306$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 220.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…3c7dbacked Over | 14c | 145.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 114.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 87.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 76.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 62.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 42c | 35.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 49c | 31.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 30.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 50c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 49c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 171.5this page
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.