Lol · resolved market
LoL: Diversion Gaming vs eSuba (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb59569d1da654154c63130cf5ea9e3d96eba8ab637219739bdab92f50aefdc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof Diversion Gaming, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed eSuba | 79c | 18,220$14,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.53 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Diversion Gaming | 20c | 3,438$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.86 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Diversion Gaming | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Diversion Gaming | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 1,496$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Diversion Gaming | 18c | 1,401$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…a6dabacked Diversion Gaming | 20c | 1,033$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Diversion Gaming | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Diversion Gaming | 18c | 758.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 624.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Diversion Gaming | 20c | 615$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 576.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 484.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Diversion Gaming | 22c | 304.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…fc1dbacked Diversion Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Diversion Gaming | 19c | 272.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 265$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Diversion Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Diversion Gaming | 16c | 169$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Diversion Gaming | 18c | 159$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Diversion Gaming | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Diversion Gaming | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Diversion Gaming | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Diversion Gaming | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Diversion Gaming | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a02…8224backed Diversion Gaming | 19c | 93.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Diversion Gaming | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Diversion Gaming | 18c | 57.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Diversion Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.