Tennis · resolved market
Fery vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb745be750daa38fd4f99d8891f6d64eaee855dadecfe80f3a0da03486dd80b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 4,500$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.3 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 480.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 50c | 266.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 52c | 246.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 246.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 47c | 184.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 41c | 150.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 59c | 146$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 54c | 140.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 51c | 89.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 56.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 51c | 48.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 51c | 44.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 52c | 35.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 53c | 31.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 52c | 28.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed Over | 51c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 51c | 20.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fery vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Arthur Fery vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Fery vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Fery vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Fery vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fery vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel CerundoloJuan Manuel Cerundolo won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs CerundoloCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Fery (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.