Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb4b90c31c71377e31dc6620bd14346f838fe88d8bf2430cd2644521d833fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,107 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 3,455$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,124$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,115$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.68 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 76c | 1,351$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 1,191$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.39 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 79c | 796.16$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 600.74$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 397.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 33c | 363.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 332$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 304.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 18c | 282.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 242.32$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 220.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 144.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 140.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 41c | 135.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 83.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 79.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 58c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 66.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed No | 44c | 64.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 63.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 72c | 44.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 40.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 33c | 30.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed No | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 72cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…333dbacked No | 44c | 28.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 77c | 24.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 51c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 52c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 80c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.