TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Brute vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bruteof Brute, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff34…694bbacked Brute54c2,479$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.171,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute32c1,780$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.382,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters55c1,391$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.855,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824f…69bdbacked Rune Eaters55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.994148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed Rune Eaters46c1,141$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.377349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute47c1,006$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.971,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Rune Eaters1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters55c953.99$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.697,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters45c883.46$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.073,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Brute53c748.91$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.451,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Brute50c600$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.542,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters55c563.1$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.464,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked Brute52c549.21$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8310942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters45c479.98$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.434,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Brute57c438.71$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9424942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Brute47c418.83$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Rune Eaters34c275.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8349941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Brute38c240.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.272,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Rune Eaters56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7950358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a4…f92ebacked Brute37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.34334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Brute42c186.35$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.644,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b84…e88cbacked Brute30c185$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.424440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Brute53c151.07$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.772,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters45c129.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.164,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters52c126.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.696,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Rune Eaters49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.864058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Rune Eaters52c115.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Brute65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3542757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Rune Eaters52c92.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Brute45c87.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2436434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Rune Eaters54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd0…4303backed Brute62c72.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5810739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Brute56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.435226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters70c45.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.031,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Rune Eaters39c37.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7417545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed Rune Eaters64c37.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.787435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d8b…e621backed Brute69c36.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Brute33c36.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3870042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters53c33.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.592,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…60fcbacked Rune Eaters77c31.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Rune Eaters44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0544563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eab…63d7backed Rune Eaters68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked Brute65c27.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.814658.2%85 W · 61 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Brute50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.