Lol · resolved market
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbcaff1b0f63bb02c4734f187684bbbe8d690971ce65c15b255801b277ef79b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bulldog Esportsof Arctic Pandas, Bulldog Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Arctic Pandas | 2c | 6,200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Arctic Pandas | 2c | 6,200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Arctic Pandas | 2c | 6,200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Arctic Pandas | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Arctic Pandas | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Arctic Pandas | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Arctic Pandas | 2c | 4,800$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Arctic Pandas | 6c | 1,908$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Arctic Pandas | 19c | 1,420$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 208 | 42.3%88 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Arctic Pandas | 17c | 1,360$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 1,006$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Arctic Pandas | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Bulldog Esports | 67c | 978.09$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.39 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Arctic Pandas | 33c | 922.29$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.1 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 536.83$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Bulldog Esports | 44c | 411.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.79 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arctic Pandas | 18c | 395.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Arctic Pandas | 55c | 363.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Bulldog Esports | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Arctic Pandas | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Arctic Pandas | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arctic Pandas | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arctic Pandas | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arctic Pandas | 21c | 94.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulldog Esports | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Arctic Pandas | 47c | 68.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bulldog Esports | 58c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Arctic Pandas | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arctic Pandas | 43c | 42.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…e7ffbacked Arctic Pandas | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Arctic Pandas | 57c | 41.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 448 | 50.7%227 W · 221 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Bulldog Esports | 52c | 40.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Arctic Pandas | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Bulldog Esports | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Bulldog Esports | 35c | 35.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 30.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Arctic Pandas | 56c | 27.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Arctic Pandas | 43c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Arctic Pandas | 45c | 22.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bulldog Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bulldog Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bulldog Esports | 73c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Bulldog Esports | 60c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular SeasonBulldog Esports won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports - Game 2 WinnerBulldog Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.