Earnings · resolved market
Will Wintrust Financial (WTFC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd25e65cb375e73dd3efac5fb8217207b2fa02c74c1dacc55ad0f37d073773a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 27c | 382.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 80c | 250.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 22c | 242.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…40aebacked No | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 199.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…0b1dbacked No | 40c | 171.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 168.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 28c | 127.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 77c | 103.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8b…1754backed No | 22c | 94.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 92.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 21c | 79.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 24c | 67.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…0c73backed No | 25c | 66.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 39c | 50.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…24d2backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…58cabacked No | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…21f7backed No | 33c | 39.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 76c | 36.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked Yes | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 77c | 28.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…023dbacked Yes | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 77c | 21.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…afbebacked Yes | 71c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…e60ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.