Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc32c12888fcabdbe55974707fc428176ddebf71dc1a0e00770c0b58559bb09a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 1,217$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.93 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed GIANTX | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 946$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.13 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GIANTX | 65c | 626.03$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.92 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GIANTX | 66c | 440.4$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked GIANTX | 56c | 217.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Karmine Corp | 15c | 178.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 160.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked GIANTX | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 108.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked GIANTX | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GIANTX | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked GIANTX | 48c | 52.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked GIANTX | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed GIANTX | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GIANTX | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.