Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1218cfec5ea5b98b843e13b579ff3680c025444a710da344425652dcfa9b1c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 3,296$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed GIANTX | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 1,464$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.54 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GIANTX | 69c | 1,438$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked GIANTX | 48c | 974.74$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 899.21$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.61 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed GIANTX | 69c | 871.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.56 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed GIANTX | 73c | 657.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.33 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 465.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 394.76$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed GIANTX | 77c | 388.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked GIANTX | 49c | 367.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 210.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked GIANTX | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 185$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed GIANTX | 51c | 166.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed GIANTX | 73c | 162$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 129.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 128.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GIANTX | 73c | 111.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0261…4e25backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 106.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked GIANTX | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed GIANTX | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GIANTX | 70c | 93.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed GIANTX | 48c | 80.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…9e69backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 80.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed GIANTX | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GIANTX | 62c | 61.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed GIANTX | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GIANTX | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed GIANTX | 50c | 52.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed GIANTX | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…ade2backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed GIANTX | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…59c2backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked GIANTX | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 35.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…097ebacked GIANTX | 50c | 34.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked GIANTX | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 30.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked GIANTX | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed GIANTX | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed GIANTX | 53c | 27.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GIANTX | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed GIANTX | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1this page
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.