Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc513f54eaf988911c9aa3542013f7992f280c1c03ca154e65702b6c7d8fd20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Nemiga Gaming, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 3,433$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.5 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 2,885$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 1,621$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.51 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects | 77c | 699.99$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 678.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 593.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 535.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 428.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects | 77c | 314.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked South America Rejects | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 75c | 170$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 131.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 106.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 103.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked South America Rejects | 75c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group ASouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.