TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune Eatersof Atreides, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3db4…d69bbacked Atreides50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Atreides55c3,250$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.4721953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Atreides52c2,953$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.6943951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters50c2,168$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.165,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e8…db20backed Rune Eaters48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Atreides56c1,689$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.6523356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters46c1,421$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.327,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Rune Eaters43c1,227$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.7575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters45c1,097$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.262,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters46c997.23$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.721,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters46c861.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.583,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Rune Eaters46c829.04$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.7540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Rune Eaters41c738$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.692,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Atreides50c571.8$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.916850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Atreides50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Atreides58c520$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.135153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides66c404.04$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8743152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Rune Eaters46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Atreides48c354.56$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4727647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Rune Eaters45c352.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.391,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Rune Eaters41c317.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0714544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Rune Eaters50c315$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.520045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Atreides55c267.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1820046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Rune Eaters43c261.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.762,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Rune Eaters49c260.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8958745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters44c230.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.254,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Atreides58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11631749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides54c184.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.122,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Atreides59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.372,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Atreides56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.929731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Rune Eaters45c153.24$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1889046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides33c127$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.683,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters42c111$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.784,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Rune Eaters44c109$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8451446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Rune Eaters46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.740558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Rune Eaters43c107.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6911551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed Rune Eaters50c105.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.576942%29 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Atreides45c105$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.765,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides53c103.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.342,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cc…a355backed Rune Eaters50c100.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c0…c1fbbacked Rune Eaters50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atreides38c81.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.962,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Atreides58c79.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3161054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rune Eaters53c77.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.362,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Atreides45c75.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0219035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides45c74.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.523,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters48c71.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.381,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed Atreides55c61.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.676141%25 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Rune Eaters50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…3d4cbacked Rune Eaters57c52.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.24850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Rune Eaters46c48.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Rune Eaters47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3620742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2889…299abacked Rune Eaters48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9454…9abcbacked Atreides68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510254.9%56 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed Rune Eaters50c34.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.162352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Rune Eaters45c31.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5241853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Atreides56c30.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0977146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Atreides57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Rune Eaters47c28.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1562248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters50c24.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Rune Eaters49c24.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2719050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.