CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc521d04a7224a11ec0872c7cfe3fb08d29fee7078c8562dcf638f32f144eb01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Atreides, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Atreides | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Atreides | 55c | 3,250$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.47 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Atreides | 52c | 2,953$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.69 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 2,168$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…db20backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Atreides | 56c | 1,689$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.65 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 1,421$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,227$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.75 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 1,097$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.26 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 997.23$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.72 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 861.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.58 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 829.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.75 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 738$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.69 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Atreides | 50c | 571.8$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Atreides | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Atreides | 58c | 520$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides | 66c | 404.04$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.87 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Atreides | 48c | 354.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 352.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 315$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Atreides | 55c | 267.51$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 261.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 260.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 230.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Atreides | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides | 54c | 184.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atreides | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Atreides | 56c | 170$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 153.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides | 33c | 127$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 111$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 109$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 107.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 105.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 53c | 103.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…a355backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 100.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 38c | 81.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Atreides | 58c | 79.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 77.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Atreides | 45c | 75.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 45c | 74.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 71.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed Atreides | 55c | 61.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…3d4cbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 52.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 48.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Atreides | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 34.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 31.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Atreides | 56c | 30.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Atreides | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 28.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.