Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drexel Dragons vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc524a626ea880c64dc725958a0ab3486752d55da51de927cfd4446bacab3d40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof Drexel Dragons, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Drexel Dragons | 68c | 3,162$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Drexel Dragons | 2c | 1,247$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 1,226$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 42c | 706.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.72 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 67c | 614.28$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 72c | 607.89$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 407.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Drexel Dragons | 54c | 381$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 67c | 357.62$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…c123backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 42c | 299$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Drexel Dragons | 78c | 276.32$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…c338backed Drexel Dragons | 58c | 272$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Drexel Dragons | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…58edbacked Drexel Dragons | 58c | 232$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f3a0backed Drexel Dragons | 58c | 224$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…a7b9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 42c | 223$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…d98cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 42c | 221$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 73c | 209.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa036…0b7ebacked Drexel Dragons | 58c | 208$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…040fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 42c | 193$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 43c | 152.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 68c | 141.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Drexel Dragons | 62c | 133.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 46c | 123.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Drexel Dragons | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Drexel Dragons | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 70c | 99.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed Drexel Dragons | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Drexel Dragons | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 70c | 63.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 61.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Drexel Dragons | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Drexel Dragons | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 40c | 41.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 39.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 28c | 36.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Drexel Dragons | 72c | 14.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.