Tennis · resolved market
Pozoblanco: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Alastair Gray
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc61712310b20bf41b4f466ae85afb0c428d970d1858854fdbcdc28b5f2ed79f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Izan Almazan Valienteof Izan Almazan Valiente, Alastair Gray
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d93…4d4cbacked Alastair Gray | 0c | 15,093$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alastair Gray | 53c | 1,475$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 22c | 1,255$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.76 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alastair Gray | 71c | 1,012$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alastair Gray | 55c | 830$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.05 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 28c | 495.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.77 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 40c | 389.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Alastair Gray | 78c | 377.95$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 38c | 348.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alastair Gray | 41c | 279.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 66c | 257.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 25c | 240$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alastair Gray | 53c | 205.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Alastair Gray | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 67c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 28c | 142.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Alastair Gray | 71c | 130.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 24c | 130$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alastair Gray | 56c | 124.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 45c | 115.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alastair Gray | 65c | 105.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…49ebbacked Alastair Gray | 15c | 102.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Alastair Gray | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 45c | 99.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 49c | 87.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 47c | 63.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 50c | 55.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Alastair Gray | 72c | 40.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 44c | 40.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Alastair Gray | 72c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…1cd8backed Alastair Gray | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Izan Almazan Valiente | 46c | 28.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 46c | 26.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alastair Gray | 79c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Alastair Gray | 67c | 25.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Alastair Gray | 76c | 22.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…6650backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 77c | 22.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 80 | 77.5%62 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Alastair Gray | 73c | 21.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Alastair Gray | 80c | 18.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Izan Almazan Valiente | 63c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Alastair Gray | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.