Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Linette vs Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0b0d48941e681c866d9a91a0a703df6f40b03c904f48b1961e830601e591c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Linette, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Linette | 25c | 1,569$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.93 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Linette | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Andreeva | 74c | 790.15$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.44 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Andreeva | 75c | 538.76$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Andreeva | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Linette | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Andreeva | 70c | 212.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Linette | 29c | 207.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Linette | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Andreeva | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Linette | 30c | 129.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Andreeva | 75c | 116.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Linette | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Linette | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Linette | 26c | 97.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Linette | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Linette | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Andreeva | 75c | 53.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Andreeva | 74c | 52.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreeva | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Linette | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Andreeva | 74c | 33.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Andreeva | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Andreeva | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Andreeva | 70c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Andreeva | 75c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Andreeva | 75c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Andreeva | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Linette vs Andreevathis page
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5)Andreeva won
- Wimbledon WTA: Magda Linette vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.