La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd127e8628f58d186010735cef8b3e1c372f01383aea040739f8a01c2921d146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,466$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed No | 70c | 1,027$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 490.66$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 356.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 13c | 312.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 265.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 203.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 164.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 142.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 80c | 132.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 29c | 131$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 10c | 119.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 79c | 82.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 17c | 70.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 51c | 53.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 69c | 28.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.