La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf79478e963aa384ee8dd0ce758fb8c90b097d9983b67160ab98f530bf1724e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,952 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,773$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.04 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 1,329$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,026$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 71c | 686.93$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.21 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 628.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 13c | 590.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 436$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 204.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 49.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 72c | 37.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 54c | 35.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 45c | 33.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 26.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 19.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked No | 72c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.