La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6bf9028fb6e94c9321715484cac61611bc84fa2816cf735e6bddc065d0ba6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,313 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 4,148$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.83 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 41c | 2,743$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.24 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 840.12$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 779.9$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 733.66$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.66 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 36c | 584.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 487.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 27c | 355$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 44c | 228.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 216.72$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 80c | 157.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 43c | 150.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 39c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 129.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 21c | 125.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 124$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 19c | 95.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 82.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 79.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 59c | 78.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…a29fbacked Yes | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 39.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 39.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbb…4ca9backed Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 42c | 32.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 30.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 60c | 16.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.