CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5f06e2d313466c85e81d40aafa4f07e2cfcea7870fa6801d43f0f77a231c9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Isurus, Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Isurus | 76c | 5,711$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.16 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vexa | 25c | 2,321$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vexa | 24c | 1,613$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Vexa | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vexa | 29c | 868.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Vexa | 4c | 418.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Isurus | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Vexa | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Vexa | 27c | 218.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vexa | 6c | 208.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Isurus | 73c | 192.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Vexa | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Vexa | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vexa | 8c | 139.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vexa | 12c | 133.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Vexa | 24c | 120.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Isurus | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Vexa | 24c | 110.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Isurus | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Isurus | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Vexa | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…1de9backed Vexa | 22c | 77.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Isurus | 78c | 62.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Isurus | 62c | 51.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Isurus | 79c | 30.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Isurus | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs Vexa (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.